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iraq and al queda
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iraq and al queda -
The dots have been joined by various analysts who believe there is conclusive proof (or, as one observer puts it, a probability between 0 and 10) of a connection that would could lead Iraq to engage terrorists to unleash an unknown weapon against an unknown country at an unknown time. This probability ("between 0 and 10") is apparently too high. It could happen, but would it?

Other commentators argue that Iraq, secular dictatorship, and Al Queda, fanatical islam terrorist group, hate each other. Al Queda and most fundamentalist terrorist organisations I've heard of, are passionate in their extreme beliefs and are not just guns for hire.

However, perhaps these two forces could overcome their hatred and come together in the face of a common enemy, if sufficiently provoked.

COMMENTATORS
  daniel pipes Mohammed Atta, one of the hijackers, met with an Iraqi intelligence agent in Prague. Two of his co-conspirators met with Iraqi intelligence officers in the United Arab Emirates. Bin Laden aides met with officials in Baghdad. Further, Saddam may be behind the recent military-grade anthrax attacks, suggested by the presence of bentonite, a substance only Iraq uses for this purpose." Daniel Pipes, New York Post December 3, 2001 [reprinted in the Middle East Quarterly]
  David Rose Mohamed Atta, the leader of the 9/11 plotters, met an Iraqi intelligence officer, Ibrahim al-Ani, in Prague in April 2001. Some US officials have suggested this meeting did not happen. But in a signed statement dated 24 February, 2003, Hynek Kmonicek, the Czech ambassador to the UN, says his government 'can confirm that during the stay of Mohamed Atta ... there was contact with Mr al-Ani, who was on 22 April, 2001 expelled from the Czech Republic on the basis of activities not compatible with his diplomatic status David Rose
Sunday March 16, 2003, Observer
  George W Bush Jnr "We know that Iraq and the al Qaeda terrorist network share a common enemy -- the United States of America. We know that Iraq and al Qaeda have had high-level contacts that go back a decade. Some al Qaeda leaders who fled Afghanistan went to Iraq." President George W Bush, October 7,2002
  Colin Powell " U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell told the UN Security Council, "Iraq harbors a deadly terrorist network headed by Abu Musab Zarqawi, an associate and collaborator of Osama bin Laden and his Al Qaeda lieutenant." ... Zarqawi is connected with Ansar al-Islam, a Kurdish militant group that operates in northern Iraq outside Baghdad's control... In May 2002, Zarqawi received medical treatment in Baghdad after he fled Afghanistan, Powell said. He said that while Zarqawi was in Baghdad, nearly two dozen other extremists converged there to establish a base." Detroit Free Press February 6, 2003
  Michael Novak

" From the point of view of public authorities who must calculate the risks of action or inaction vis-a-vis the regime of Saddam Hussein, two points are salient. Saddam Hussein has the means to wreak devastating destruction upon Paris, London, or Chicago, or any cities of his choosing, if only he can find clandestine undetectable “foot soldiers” to deliver small amounts of the sarin gas, botulins, anthrax and other lethal elements to predetermined targets. Secondly, independent terrorist assault cells have already been highly trained for precisely such tasks, and have trumpeted far and wide their intentions to carry out such destruction willingly, with joy. All that is lacking between these two incendiary elements is a spark of contact... Given Saddam’s proven record in the use of such weapons, and given his recognized contempt for international law, only an imprudent or even foolhardy statesman could trust that these two forces will stay apart forever. At any time they could combine, in secret, to murder tens of thousands of innocent and unsuspecting citizens...

Somewhere between 0 and 10, in other words, there already is a probability of Saddam’s deadly weapons falling into Al Qaeda’s willing hands. (There are also other branches of the international terror network). Reasonable observers can disagree about whether that risk is at 2 or 4 or 8. But this much is clear. Those who judge that the risk is low, and therefore allow Saddam to remain in power, will bear a horrific responsibility if they guessed wrong, and acts of destruction do occur. " Michael Novak, American Enterprise Institute, February 10, 2003

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